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💎 Fed’s first rate cut since 2020 set to trigger market. Find undervalued gems with Fair Value Learn More
Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Sep 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
1
Weeks
2
Days
6
Hours
32
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
94.795
4.75 - 5.00
26.0%
5.00 - 5.25
74.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 26.0% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| 5.00 - 5.25 | 74.0% | 70.0% | 70.0% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Nov 07, 2024 01:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.285
4.25 - 4.50
13.0%
4.50 - 4.75
50.1%
4.75 - 5.00
36.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 13.0% | 15.9% | 6.8% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 50.1% | 51.2% | 39.1% |
| 4.75 - 5.00 | 36.9% | 32.9% | 54.1% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 18, 2024 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.550
3.75 - 4.00
8.9%
4.00 - 4.25
38.2%
4.25 - 4.50
41.1%
4.50 - 4.75
11.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 8.9% | 11.2% | 2.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 38.2% | 40.8% | 19.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 41.1% | 38.3% | 45.1% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 11.8% | 9.7% | 32.4% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.815
3.25 - 3.50
3.9%
3.50 - 3.75
21.7%
3.75 - 4.00
39.5%
4.00 - 4.25
28.3%
4.25 - 4.50
6.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.9% | 5.7% | 0.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 21.7% | 26.2% | 5.3% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 39.5% | 39.5% | 23.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 28.3% | 23.9% | 43.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 6.6% | 4.8% | 27.5% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 12, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.270
2.75 - 3.00
0.1%
3.00 - 3.25
4.6%
3.25 - 3.50
22.4%
3.50 - 3.75
39.0%
3.75 - 4.00
27.4%
4.00 - 4.25
6.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 4.6% | 6.6% | 0.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 22.4% | 26.7% | 4.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 39.0% | 38.8% | 21.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 27.4% | 23.0% | 40.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 6.4% | 4.6% | 29.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 3.6% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 23, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.470
2.50 - 2.75
0.1%
2.75 - 3.00
4.5%
3.00 - 3.25
22.1%
3.25 - 3.50
38.7%
3.50 - 3.75
27.6%
3.75 - 4.00
6.8%
4.00 - 4.25
0.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.1% | 0.5% | — |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 4.5% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 22.1% | 27.2% | 3.8% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 38.7% | 38.3% | 17.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 27.6% | 22.4% | 36.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 6.8% | 4.4% | 31.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.1% | — | 9.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 0.8% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 04, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.760
2.50 - 2.75
1.9%
2.75 - 3.00
11.7%
3.00 - 3.25
29.0%
3.25 - 3.50
34.2%
3.50 - 3.75
19.0%
3.75 - 4.00
4.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.9% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 11.7% | 15.1% | 1.4% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 29.0% | 31.5% | 8.4% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 34.2% | 32.0% | 24.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 19.0% | 15.4% | 35.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 4.0% | 2.7% | 24.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.1% | — | 6.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 0.5% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 16, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.860
2.25 - 2.50
1.7%
2.50 - 2.75
10.5%
2.75 - 3.00
26.7%
3.00 - 3.25
33.5%
3.25 - 3.50
21.0%
3.50 - 3.75
6.0%
3.75 - 4.00
0.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | 0.0% | — |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.1% | 0.2% | — |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 10.5% | 14.0% | 1.3% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 26.7% | 30.0% | 7.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 33.5% | 32.0% | 21.9% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 21.0% | 16.9% | 33.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 6.0% | 3.8% | 25.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 8.7% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 0.0% | — | 1.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | — | — | 0.1% |
Updated: Sep 09, 2024 07:05AM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
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